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  1. Steve Pond over at The Wrap runs down the record breaking number of 240 Oscar docs for contention. And how voters will be assigned to various films to make sure all of them are seen in time: The Oscars Best Documentary Feature race, which set a new record for entries in December when it passed.
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Welcome to Oscar Experts Typing, a weekly column in which Gold Derby editors and Experts Joyce Eng and Christopher Rosen discuss the Oscar race the same way you’ve been communicating with your coworkers for the past year: via Slack. This week, as Oscar nomination voting gets underway and runs through Wednesday, March 10, we make our own endorsements.

Christopher Rosen: Hello, Joyce, and welcome to a special day! Almost 13 months after last year’s Oscars season came to a rousing conclusion with “Parasite” crowned Best Picture, voting for this year’s Academy Awards has finally officially begun. That has me excited, even with the ceremony still literal weeks away, and it feels like the right time to use our typing to stump for some outside contenders. So with my best Melissa Leo voice activated, allow me to begin by asking you and everyone else to consider “Da 5 Bloods.” Spike Lee‘s Vietnam War epic came out in June, so it’s no wonder the Netflix film hasn’t been top of mind lately. But maybe it’s back on the upswing? The film scored big at the Screen Actors Guild Awards (Best Ensemble and Best Supporting Actor for Chadwick Boseman, as well as Best Stunt Ensemble) and is a sizable factor at the Critics Choice Awards this weekend (where Delroy Lindo is among the Best Actor nominees). Plus, in a counterintuitive way, its exclusion from the Golden Globe Awards — where Lee’s film was an egregious snub across the board — kept “Da 5 Bloods” in the conversation more than any actual nominations and subsequent losses might have done. Netflix has seemingly remained committed to the film, too: This week, I noticed a marked uptick in promoted tweets about “Da 5 Bloods,” and Lee has remained his film’s biggest cheerleader on the circuit. (His interview with our own Daniel Montgomery, which published Friday, is absolutely worth a watch.) Am I overthinking things, or are we headed to a “surprise” strong showing for “Da 5 Bloods” when Oscar nominations are announced later this month? Best Picture, Best Director, Best Actor, Best Supporting Actor? What do you think, and who are you rooting for?

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joyceeng: Sorry about that, was just grabbing my (fake) white fur coat for you to consider. Yes, the last-minute push for “Da 5 Bloods” has been pretty much inescapable this week if you were online — with not one but two hashtags! It would be a worthy nominee across the board and we’ll get a bit more clarity on its chances in the top races after Producers Guild and Directors Guild Awards nominations on Monday and Tuesday — I don’t have high expectations for BAFTA nominations, also on Tuesday (we’ve waited so long and now we’re just getting an onslaught of stuff). But even if it’s a no-show at those places, I would not be shocked if it popped up on Oscar nomination morning outside of Boseman, who appears to be the safest pick for a nom for the film right now. The Picture, director and actor races are crowded, but we’ve seen Oscar voters zag while everyone else has zigged before, especially in director. As for my FYC, it would probably come as no surprise to you that I am stumping for “Sound of Metal,” for Best Picture and Best Supporting Actor for Paul Raci in particular. I still have Raci in, but I recently removed the film from Best Picture because 1) reverse psychology, and 2) it sort of feels like the prolonged season has blunted its momentum, which was peaking in December and January. What do you think? Can it drum up major nominations outside of Riz Ahmed?

SEEOscar Experts Typing: Is Chadwick Boseman unbeatable in Best Actor?

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Christopher Rosen: Hey, there are worse hills to die on, for sure. In your favor: Best Supporting Actor feels like it could be ripe for a surprise or two — and while we’ve had some fun with Jared Leto these last few weeks, he is far from a sure thing for that ostensible final spot. That would, conceivably, open up the fifth position for Raci or maybe someone else. Bad news: I’ve slowly begun to convince myself that “someone else” in this case will not be Raci, but rather David Strathairn — a nominee in the tradition of Marina de Tavira and Jacki Weaver (a shock nominee in a Best Picture contender that voters simply really loved). But since this is about stanning for our favorites, I’d be remiss if I didn’t single out a couple of real long-shots who would be in the conversation if there was any justice: Yeri Han for “Minari” and Lakeith Stanfield for “Judas and the Black Messiah.” There were a few weeks where I had Han in that last Best Actress slot after Viola Davis, Carey Mulligan, Frances McDormand and Vanessa Kirby — but following Andra Day‘s surprise Globe win, I slotted Day back in among the final five. But Han is really incredible in “Minari” and I’d argue she not only has the most difficult role (audience sympathies do not necessarily lie with her) but the key part. She’s a perfect balance to Steven Yeun and it’s hard to imagine his performance working as well without Han on the opposite side. That’s also why I think Stanfield should have more juice in what is an admittedly packed Best Actor race (I can hardly find room for Lindo or even our personal fave, Ben Affleck): caught in between Fred Hampton and the FBI, he’s got a tricky position and nails the nuance required — and his morally questionable character is a great counterweight to Daniel Kaluuya‘s grace and determination. Stop me before I suggest we should just expand these acting categories to seven or eight nominees, Critics Choice Awards-style, and give me a couple of your Hail Mary hopes.

joyceeng: Strathairn would be a classic coattail nominee — and the supporting categories love ’em some coattails in strong Best Picture contenders. His performance is subtle like Raci’s, but he has the benefit of being in a top two film. I second Stanfield and Han. We’ve already discussed in our Best Actress type-fest last month how Han has been robbed blind this season for a performance that really holds the whole film together even though it’s not quite obvious to the naked eye right away. But yeah, with Day’s Globe win, the five slots appear to be locked up. But hey, that’s what we thought four years ago and Amy Adams was AWOL. Sticking with Best Actress, my Hail Marys would be Sidney Flanigan, who’s devastating in “Never Rarely Sometimes Always” — as many suspected, Flanigan’s shaping up to be an early critics’ favorite who can’t keep chase — and Elisabeth Moss in “The Invisible Man.” That nomination is not going to happen — hi, genre bias — but how cool would that be? I wouldn’t say that was the best performance of the year, but that remake would not work as well as it did without Moss’ haunting turn that made us invested in the stakes and not bat an eye when she was fighting air basically. Jumping over to song, I — and I know you feel the same — would be all in on a nom for “Husavik.” Team “Eurovision” is also leaving no stone unturned this week.

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SEEOscar Experts Typing: Who will win Best Supporting Actor?

Christopher Rosen: “Husavik”! I am way in for that nomination as it’s an actual song that is good. But I’m still licking my wounds in that category from the EGREGIOUS short-list snub of Taylor Swift for “Only the Young.” That song is a banger, it plays a key part in “Miss Americana,” and I still can’t believe the academy passed up the chance to have Swift’s star power at this year’s ceremony. (I know, I know, she’s not an Oscars favorite, boo!) But let’s wrap it up with one last question: As we discussed earlier this week, just how many ties will we see at the Critics Choice Awards on Sunday?

joyceeng: Taylor can console herself with her five wins at the inaugural Gold Derby Music Awards. Critics Choice ties… not to quote Amanda Seyfried‘s first film, but the limit does not exist. Seeing as how the Globes made the Best Actress and Best Supporting Actress races even more haywire than they already were, let’s say at least two. Very excited to see how ties work over Zoom!

PREDICT the 2021 Oscar nominations through March 15

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The members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences are the organization's greatest asset, an assemblage of the finest artists and craftspersons of the art form.

On this page the Academy pays homage to those members who have passed away this year. Academy Awards and nominations are noted (a win is indicated by an asterisk) as well as service on the Academy's Board of Governors. To see the full gallery from the 2020 Oscars click here.

James Lawrence Aicholtz – Sound Branch
Kelly Adam Asbury – Short Films and Feature Animation Branch
Julie Bennett – Actors Branch
Chadwick Boseman – Actors Branch
Paul C. Brandon – Associates
Wilford Brimley – Actors Branch
Edd Byrnes – Actors Branch
Colleen Callaghan – Makeup Artists and Hairstylists Branch
1995 (68th) Makeup – “Roommates”
2001 (74th) Makeup – “A Beautiful Mind”
Lewis John Carlino – Writers Branch
1955 (50th) Writing (Screenplay based on material from another medium) – “I Never Promised You a Rose Garden”
Denny Clairmont – Members-at-Large
2010 (83rd) *John A. Bonner Medal of Commendation
Harry Clein – Marketing and Public Relations Branch
Martin Cohen – Members-at-Large
Linda Cristal – Actors Branch
Olivia de Havilland – Actors Branch
1939 (12th) Actress in a Supporting Role – “Gone with the Wind”
1941 (14th) Actress – “Hold Back the Dawn”
1946 (19th) *Actress – “To Each His Own”
1948 (21st) Actress – “The Snake Pit”
1949 (22nd) *Actress – “The Heiress”
Gene Deitch – Short Films and Feature Animation Branch
Brian Dennehy – Actors Branch
Kirk Douglas – Actors Branch
1949 (22nd) Actor – “Champion”
1952 (25th) Actor – “The Bad and the Beautiful”
1956 (29th) Actor – “Lust for Life”
1995 (68th) *Honorary Award
Marj Dusay – Actors Branch
Michael Economou – Film Editors Branch
John Ericson – Actors Branch
Andrew J. Fenady – Producers Branch
Harriet Frank, Jr. – Writers Branch
1963 (36th) Writing (Screenplay based on material from another medium) – “Hud”
1979 (52nd) Writing (Screenplay based on material from another medium) – “Norma Rae”
Michael Franklin – Members-at-Large
William L. Goldenberg – Music Branch
Michael F. Goldman – Executives Branch
Jack Gordon – Executives Branch
Stuart Gordon – Directors Branch
Robert Harper – Actors Branch
Buck Henry – Writers Branch
1967 (40th) Writing (Screenplay based on material from another medium) – “The Graduate”
1978 (51st) Directing – “Heaven Can Wait”
Richard T. Herd – Actors Branch
Jim Houston – Members-at-Large
1991 (64th) *Scientific or Technical Award (Scientific and Engineering Award)
2006 (79th) *Scientific and Technical Award (Scientific and Engineering Award)
Peter H. Hunt – Directors Branch
Jack Kehoe – Actors Branch
Irrfan Khan – Actors Branch
Shirley Knight – Actors Branch
1960 (33rd) Actress in a Supporting Role – “The Dark at the Top of the Stairs”
1962 (35th) Actress in a Supporting Role – “Sweet Bird of Youth”
Tom Kobayashi – Sound Branch
Moonyeenn Lee – Casting Directors Branch
Colin D. Leventhal – Executives Branch
Gerry Lewis – Marketing and Public Relations Branch
Kurt M. Luedtke – Writers Branch
1981 (54th) Writing (Screenplay written directly for the screen) – “Absence of Malice”
1985 (58th) *Writing (Screenplay based on material from another medium) – “Out of Africa”
Terrence McNally – Writers Branch
Loring Mandel – Writers Branch
Thomas L. Miller – Producers Branch
Ennio Morricone – Music Branch
1978 (51st) Music (Original Score) – “Days of Heaven”
1986 (59th) Music (Original Score) – “The Mission”
1987 (60th) Music (Original Score) – “The Untouchables”
1991 (64th) Music (Original Score) – “Bugsy”
2000 (73rd) Music (Original Score) – “Malèna”
2006 (79th) *Honorary Award
2015 (88th) *Music (Original Score) – “The Hateful Eight”
Lennie Niehaus – Music Branch
Alan Parker – Directors Branch
1978 (51st) Directing – “Midnight Express”
1988 (61st) Directing – “Mississippi Burning”
Edward Pisoni – Production Design Branch
Thomas Pollock – Executives Branch
Leslie Pope – Production Design Branch
2003 (76th) Art Direction – “Seabiscuit”
Kelly Preston – Actors Branch
Kevin Rafferty – Documentary Branch
Sumner Redstone – Executives Branch
Carl Reiner – Actors Branch
Gene Reynolds – Actors Branch
Allan Rich – Actors Branch

Reni Santoni – Actors Branch
John Saxon – Actors Branch
Joel Schumacher – Directors Branch
Gerard Schurmann – Music Branch
Ronald L. Schwary – Producers Branch
1980 (53rd) *Best Picture – “Ordinary People”
1984 (57th) Best Picture – “A Soldier's Story”
Lynn Shelton – Directors Branch
Geno Silva – Actors Branch

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Fred Talmage – Members-at-Large

Max von Sydow – Actors Branch
1988 (61st) Actor in a Leading Role – “Pelle the Conqueror”
2011 (84th) Actor in a Supporting Role – “Extremely Loud & Incredibly Close”
Stuart Whitman – Actors Branch
1961 (34th) Actor – “The Mark”
Fred Willard – Actors Branch